Trump's rating has surpassed Obama's, at the point in time corresponding to Obama's bid for re-election. But, Trump is still behind Biden in every poll. Why?
The Net Is Huge
An ABC/WAPO poll showed Trump would win in a close race, which he did. Gallup, which doesn't choose winners, found that Trump won the First Debate, by categorizing his performance as, "superior to Hillary Clinton's in terms of being on point, and not appearing robotic." 538 based one crazy pro Clinton 93%'ile figure on the assertion that, "Who wins the first debate, wins the election."
That is, itself, debatable.
Never before were percentiles awarded to candidates. Never before were candidates given numbers like, "93% Chance of Winning for Clinton!" (538, July, 2016)
That's because the TV and radio networks, and print media outlets that dared to do so, would be accountable to the Congress, and the Federal Election Commission (FEC), through laws designed to prevent this type of bogus brainwashing. The network publishing such a statement would be auditable as to how, mathematically, they arrived upon that figure....
But the Washington Post, and New York Times journalists, were working to promote these ridiculously high numbers for Mrs Clinton, and, they were promoting Mr Silver, himself. I witnessed this on Quora, and was eventually kicked off of Quora, for demanding to see their data; such had been the power they had. (Later, I was invited to return, and noticed all those journalists were now banned)...
The scam took advantage of the newness of the internet medium to election regulations, and Nate Silver simply lied, exaggerated, etc, to come up with a number (like 93% Chance of Winning!). Then, the MSM simply quoted that number, attributed it to 538, whom they spent carefully designed years praising, in stories timely planted, and lauding Silver over the no-brainer second ReBush win. By the time they were quoting his 93% type figures, he had been vetted fictionally as an election Jedi....over a single election prediction.
But, all this shows that they had been acting in a conspiracy against Trump's candidacy.
And, obviously, there are more numbers coming.