|The Conclusion : No Human Cause For Climate Change. We would have also accepted the Testament of the Fossil Record: billions of years of warming/cooling cycles that predate humankind proves that this is a trend, not an effect of anything.|
In a recent Counterpunch article, a generalization about the role of the Coal Industry as a Rust Belt factor increasing Trump's electability stated that there are 5,000 coal miners in Pennsylvania. Since 100 times that number of fast food workers work in the state, Counterpunch concluded that this difference would translate to an elimination of Trump votes; industry per industry.
And, since Pennsylvania's role as swing state was ultimately the deciding factor in Election:2016, Counterpunch has repeated the mistake of so many media outlets, and before we are even certain of who the candidate for the Democratic Party is going to be, he, or she, has already been awarded the key battleground state by Counterpunch.
Counterpunch is not the only offender in this practice of logical fallacy, and false assurances of victory. In 2017, the Washington Post, which has had its fair share of credibility issues, was leading the charge about the fast food/coal industry comparison, and its conclusion about voting returns. These are not accurate criteria for determining how an election, especially, one that we will not see until 2020, is going to play out when it comes to brass tacks... And, before this subject is permitted to eek by without being properly dismissed, let's take a look at the flaws involved with this conclusion.
Here is all that is wrong with that argument.
- It is a generalization
|Swing States are also Coal, or Coal dependent states. Good luck trying to convince people that being impoverished by an act of the White House is good leadership.|
- The support industries are not accounted for in that statistic
In the picture above, the statistic reads only as it applies to specifically coal industrial transportation jobs that are permanent jobs. There are railroad contracts that are paid for by the Coal Industry. There are barge captain and crew jobs that Coal helps to maintain. These are not included in the statistic above, because these careers are not exclusively dedicated to Coal.
- There is no mention of the electric company's usages of coal, and how that keeps their employee censuses up.
By no means am I declaring that people that work in the fast food and food service fields are not skilled. Management, owners, and corporate menu planners, and ad executives are examples of skilled food service industry workers. But, these are not guaranteed to vote for either party. And the workers, themselves, have always been a vital component in American Life. These positions implied by the article, as unskilled fast food workers, are by no means the only assessment of an economic class within the 500,000 who work in Pennsylvania.
But, to assume that this huge number is equal to the same number of voters is a red herring fallacy.
Therefore: these types of conclusions are rhetorical at best, and cannot do much aside from assure the Democratic voter that if Trump wins, they should perhaps use this type of conclusion to validate absolute violence.
Frankly, I find it hard to invest trust in a party dialogue that, on one hand, emphatically pushes college, and free college, at that, and the other hand, wants the public to regard flipping burgers as skilled labor.
It means you they conspire against, too, man. Even if you're one of the people who buys into any of these myths.