Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Consequences of the Syria Pullout

By: Kevin Drummond

Will ya shut up? Huh? (Archie Bunker)

While the Administration of Donald Trump seems to be very busy contradicting itself, the Syria Pullout is actually a turning point in American History...one which has astounding, reverberating, and lasting repercussions....

  • Powershift Anomaly
In general, power, and civilization, and the values accompanying any given civilization, have slowly shifted Westward since the Assyrian Empire was dispatched by the Bablyonian Empire, sometime in the Eighth Century BC. There are rare exceptions.

One, if not the sole significant counter-example, would be the rise of the Mongolian Empire during the Eleventh and Twelvth Centuries. 

Indeed, Russia, historically, identifies Pax Mongolica as the administration of a cultural denial, one which contributes to a general sense that is shared by the Russian people. It is a sense of having absorbed many of the evils that otherwise would have doomed Western Europe, like the Mongol Horde.
These hats are a continuing legacy of Mongolian rule over Russia, which was finally broken by Ivan the Great, or Formidable, or Terrible, or....depending upon the interpretation you prefer.

Pax Mongolica shaped, what would become, the general sense shared by the Russian people of having been unfairly denied their proper place in the international pecking order.

But, in general, both Pax Brittanica, and Pax Americana, the other two focal points of strength and commerce, and (in modern terms), both other poles in historical world relations, were an observation of this trend being somewhat dependable as a concept: that there is a historic tendency for power to shift westward. 

But, at differing times in History, all three (Pax Mongolica, Pax Brittanica, and Pax Americana) achieved Hegemony. 

As a result of the US concession of the lost cause that is Syria, and ultimately, as a result of what has come to define the necessity for the Syria pullout, we now have what is, perhaps, only the second Eastward powershift anomaly in History. 

In the Fall of The Israeli-British-US-Saudi efforts within the national borders of Syria, we saw a more sped up version of some pretty questionable foreign policy decisions made mainly by the diplomatic staff of the ReBush and Obama Administrations. These decisions were based not in sound reason, but in a mixture of violence, and tragic incompetence on the part of these two oppositely affiliated administrations.

The one exception was the brilliant insight of the Obama Administration in convening the JCPOA. This deal, which would've calmed the entire Middle East, could never have been a functional one, in light of the Obama Administration's intelligence-community driven wars, beginning nearly the week he took office, and coming to light in the attacks against Libya. The televised harvest of US led efforts at destabilizing the Arab World is completely without logic at every step. And, in a broader sense, the very definition of hegemonic-overreach.

These were a huge defeat for the US, and the unlikely Hegemony which its planners felt would win this time. 

This sheds some insight on the clearly deficit understanding of Polarity in World Relations, and the easily foreseeable consequences both at work in the US policy institutions, and the individuals that should have prevented this chain of events from ever happening, in the first place.

These acts, by both the ReBush, and the Obama Administrations, should have been prevented by a US Diplomatic Staff that understands Geopolitics.

This lack of comprehension, as to the mis-given concept that UniPolarity (one that is singly residing exclusively in the United States) actually is, has also, in the failures of the policy planning departments in the US, paved the way to its downfall in the unlearned lessons of the last century; most notably, Korea, and Vietnam.

While the US economy stood alone as a facet of its BiPolar status, which it enjoyed between 1946 and 1991, with the Fall of the Soviet Union, the US economy is not in the same competitive field that it was, back then. Where there were two economic powers, (the US, and the USSR) now, there are 193 different economies, all forming up in memberships in regional trade blocs. 

There is little doubt Mrs Clinton holds 1/2 entirely of the blame for the US downturn....

This is happening 30 years after it was predicted to, partly, no doubt: due to the predictions of The Rise of the MultiPolar World, themselves, and the hesitation on the part of US planners to let go of the last century's definition of power: aircraft carriers.

This represents another failure to orient the country, and one that is inexcusable; and directly attributable to its policy base.
... Bipolar, or Bipolarity: two poles, or centers of economic and military power. This is the Cold War world in polarity terms. Multipolar, or Multipolarity: many poles of economic/military power, this was predicted to follow the 1991 Fall of the USSR. It was interrupted by the UniPolar World, or UniPolarity: the belief that the US is the world's only superpower. With almost zero political science support, UniPolarity, as a concept, exists almost exclusively as flattery exchanged by the newly forming EU leaders, and was exchanged for the US pretending that EU is 60 years old. In reality, it is 18 years old, and UniPolarity is a contradiction to a geopolitical world always seeking balance. 

Economic Transitioning

Recently, India bought oil from ally, and sanction-strapped alliance member, Iran. They paid for this oil with Indian Rupees. 

This represents the rise of a Supra Bloc, which is most demonstrative of MultiPolarity, and functional polarity, as well as begins the trend of "smalling down" regional economic relations by the use of currencies both non-traditional, as well as redefining to the relationship between the huge US economy, and that of the rest of the world.

Until then, the role of the Petro dollar further defined Pax Americana as Global, and made military power synonymous with the US dollar. 

The Fall of the US in Syria is the mother crack in the facade of the role of the US. There is no way to undo the damage.

  • Profile Exchange
In leaving Syria, the US has relegated Israel to the role of a poriah state. And though all parties involved will swear that this is not the case, citing Iraq as a example, the fact is, Israel is the cause of the bad US decisions, and bears the highest price of their failures in terms of national consequences.

The US is going to shrink in terms of the role it currently plays in its membership to any one of the international organizations to which it is both charter member, and very often, the primary military consulting power. 

But, that role is not going to just vanish.

Odds are, that over the next decade, the US is going to be replaced by the parties that oversaw the Fall of the US in Syria: Russia, China, Iran, Syria, Turkey, India, and Pakistan.

This could spell disaster should the human rights violations of Israel provoke a military resolution against Israel, which in all likelihood: they will. 

The US, as well as her allies, have written Israel's fate in rock by failing to topple a half dozen regimes that came under fire during the first two administrations of the new millennium.

But that is not a single-minded effort by the victorious alliance that defeated the US, greater than it is a statement about who solicited the US to even cast its efforts in such a grievously uninformed, amateur fashion, in the first place!

Israel was behind all of it. And, the profile exchange, Russia replacing the US, and the fact that Russia, and her allies are connected by overland routes to Israel, will culminate in the realization for the necessity of a confrontation to create a solution to the Israeli-sponsored antagonizing of the Middle East.

That implies, also, that a solution that addresses the fact that Israel is engaging in unholy acts against humanity shall be convened, and shall finally reach international accord. This is guaranteed by the fact that Israel is committing these human rights violations, in on an ongoing, and chronic basis.

This would be a value specific to Pax Eurasiatica, due to the fact that the consolidation of its power cannot be completed for as long as one of its regional neighbors does not share in its goals both in the long, and in the short term.

The diminishing profile of the US makes US military power no longer expedient as the chief underwriter for the safe conducting of these atrocities committed by the state of Israel. 

That profile exchange replaces an ally of Israel (the US) as the regional authority, with a Russian and Chinese Alliance, and their partners, that are already extremely provoked by the constant attacks by the weak morally, and militarily Zionist State.

I place less than ten years on the existence of Israel, as a direct consequence of the profile exchange of Russia for the US.

  • The New Old System
The convention of an international effort to correct the misguided, often Jewish-centric US policy craft, by the new world power will result in a kind of new UN, without the US veto, nor the US psychological effect to deter the consolidation of the new world order.

This rewrites the role the US played on the UN Security Council, and diminishes it greatly, relegating the US to the globally unconsulted pre-Second World War power that it once was.

A larger, and militarily successful successor to Pax Americana, Pax Eurasia, or, Pax Eurasiatica (in keeping with the trend) will again, redefine the values that had been reinforced by seventy years of Pax Americana. And, in these values are such things as a strong identity with order and peace, disdain for exporting violence upon peaceful peoples, and an ethical promotion of raising the regions involved's standards of living.

But mostly, a consensus of nations that wish to extricate the superimposed atrocity that is Israel, and remove it from the suffering of three and one half generations of Palestinians sacrificed by the US.

And, the Eurasion Mirror already has beaten the US dozens of times. Meanwhile: the majority of the US citizenry has no idea that this is fact.

Can the US Save Its Status?

There is no way that the US can preserve its pre-Syrian Failure status.
But, here is a list of things that would preserve the relevance of the US in international affairs, should its policy craft de-Zionize, and pro-American-ize:
  1. Reconvene a successor to JCPOA
  2. Surrender the Ukrainian debacle
  3. Invest in a global standard petro- cryptocurrency
  4. Diminish the Israeli lobby

JCPOA was, and is a recognition of the facts of Life, and of global polarity, as both of them apply to nation states. Creating JCPOA is a feather in both the United States', and the Obama Administration's caps; which is the way History should reflect upon a US presidency.

Leaving it, however, is a microcosm of incompetence, ineptitude, and of everything wrong in the US that caused the Syrian debacle. Chiefly, the ongoing yet illegal influence of the Israeli lobby.

The Ukraine Debacle is a holdover from the ill-conceived wars created by the last administration, right down to the efforts being largely MI6 and CIA, while the average citizen actually believes that the Ukrainians want to defend NATO interests....yeah. Right.

This needs to be conceded because it isn't worth a third world war.

Before the new New world order abandons the dollar in favor of standardizing a cryptocurrency, the US needs to eat crow, unsanction these nations, and get a seat at the table of having a role in this. If it does not do so, the ramifications will be the loss of the US from being a force to consider militarily and economically. In one word: DOWNFALL.

The Israel Lobby, by all of these events, should be well-exposed by now as the author of the effect that diminished US power, and its global profile, since 1946. Israel induced the Fall of Pax Americana. 
...The Iraq War killed Pax Americana because it demonstrated that even if nations were in compliance with weapons-ban treaties, in spite of this Israel could lobby, successfully, for their destruction. This removed 100% of the role the US played in underwriting the enforcement arm of these kinds of treaties, while simultaneously proving that the US is no longer trustworthy as an alliance partner. Iraq destroyed Pax Americana, but this was not clear to US planners until Kim Jong Il cited the Iraq War as proof that the US is using its former role to pursue diabolical ends....
Iraq was the fatal blow to Pax Americana. Israel, not oil, was the cause, and chief advocate for the 2003 Atrocity called, The Iraq War. 

The Russia Investigation is just one way that the stress, and the finger-pointing between the characters in the Obama and ReBush Administrations, are both revealing themselves. Besides pulling out of JCPOA, Trump, hasn't done anything remotely on the level of mistaken as the other two administrations of this millennium have. 

Trump, or really, any outsider, presents as uber-convenient for these people to blame for the tremors, and quakings of great, and global change. Changes which their bad directions resulted in, ultimately. The trading of phantom problems, in exchange for not facing real problems, is a design against preparing for this historic change in which the US now finds itself....

But, in Trump, we have a third administration in this century which also is deluded about US Hegemony...

The US is operated by a collective of dynamically ranging world views: united in how they do not ever seem to get the point.

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